Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.026699 0.028753 0.030818 0.033046 0.035380 0.037748 0.040331
2025-12-14 0.022267 0.025434 0.028738 0.032429 0.036424 0.040606 0.045301
2025-12-21 0.019291 0.023045 0.027072 0.031685 0.036797 0.042261 0.048517
2025-12-28 0.017925 0.022198 0.026884 0.032359 0.038533 0.045237 0.053024
2026-01-04 0.016478 0.021106 0.026288 0.032450 0.039511 0.047284 0.056423
2026-01-11 0.015144 0.020031 0.025610 0.032354 0.040193 0.048930 0.059318
2026-01-18 0.014405 0.019592 0.025611 0.032989 0.041669 0.051442 0.063165
2026-01-25 0.013379 0.018736 0.025061 0.032924 0.042286 0.052935 0.065823
2026-02-01 0.012479 0.017977 0.024575 0.032889 0.042900 0.054396 0.068420
2026-02-08 0.011645 0.017249 0.024084 0.032809 0.043428 0.055730 0.070852
2026-02-15 0.010866 0.016547 0.023587 0.032685 0.043875 0.056947 0.073131
2026-02-22 0.010188 0.015938 0.023174 0.032638 0.044390 0.058227 0.075472
2026-03-01 0.009276 0.015009 0.022360 0.032116 0.044374 0.058942 0.077240
2026-03-08 0.008382 0.014062 0.021495 0.031510 0.044247 0.059528 0.078876
2026-03-15 0.007521 0.013106 0.020569 0.030781 0.043926 0.059849 0.080165
2026-03-22 0.007253 0.012973 0.020724 0.031442 0.045348 0.062299 0.084037
2026-03-29 0.006801 0.012544 0.020458 0.031531 0.046032 0.063832 0.086791
2026-04-05 0.006320 0.012043 0.020068 0.031437 0.046464 0.065043 0.089145
2026-04-12 0.006111 0.011940 0.020221 0.032060 0.047819 0.067407 0.092926
2026-04-19 0.005698 0.011497 0.019876 0.031996 0.048269 0.068628 0.095292
2026-04-26 0.005324 0.011092 0.019565 0.031962 0.048746 0.069878 0.097690
2026-05-03 0.004963 0.010685 0.019233 0.031883 0.049153 0.071031 0.099966
2026-05-10 0.004614 0.010277 0.018882 0.031762 0.049493 0.072090 0.102121